Good morning,

Tomorrow is my birthday! And I’m getting married a week later! I still plan to follow my posting schedule for the rest of March but I hope you will bare with me if I get swept up in the festivities and miss a post or two. If I do, I promise I’ll make it up later in the year.

–Tony

## Should have shorted Grin

In mid-January, I wrote “How to short Grin” and since then the price has steadily declined from a peak of ~$15 in late January to its current price of ~$2.50. In that post, I was a man of weak conviction and said I would sit on my hands and do nothing. I thought it was highly overvalued due to its emission curve, but was wary of short-term irrationality from the market exacerbated by low liquidity.

Turns out I was right on both counts, the coin pumped substantially in the week after I wrote the post, and then slid as more coins were mined and the miners sold to recoup their costs.

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